Jesper De Jong vs Andrey Rublev Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Analyzing the players' second serve success in recent months reveals that Rublev secured 47.1% of his points on his second serve, while Jong achieved a close 46.49%. This metric is integral to forecasting the likely match victor.

Considering recent form, Rublev has reclaimed 43.48% of his rivals' second serve points, marginally surpassing Jong, who captured 43.06%. For the first serve return, Jong edges ahead with 23.87%, slightly over Rublev's 23.13%. These return metrics are critical indicators when identifying the favorite in this head-to-head encounter.

In terms of managing pressure, Rublev emerges slightly superior, having saved 59.69% of break points in current form, as opposed to Jong’s 56.42%. This aspect provides valuable insight for in-game betting strategies.

When assessing overall performance across the past year, Rublev secured victory in 58.46% of his games (38 wins, 27 losses), whereas Jong boasted a higher win rate of 64.94% (50 wins, 27 losses), which shapes an overarching prediction of their impending clash.

Examining career surface performance, Rublev's most successful terrain is Hard courts, registering a 66% win rate (196 wins, 102 losses). Jong also excels on Hard courts with a slightly better win rate of 67% (87 wins, 43 losses), whereas his Grass court performance lags at only 36% (4 wins, 7 losses).

Rublev's recent engagements have predominantly been on the Main tour, securing wins in 61.29% of matches (19 wins, 12 losses), while Jong’s recent play primarily at Challenger/ITF events yielded a 65.31% success rate (32 wins, 17 losses). This indicates a disparity in the level of competition faced.

Opponent rankings also paint a telling picture; Rublev has competed against more challenging opponents, with an average rank of 54.46, while Jong’s adversaries have averaged a rank of 231.55 over the past year.

Regarding deciding sets, Jong has demonstrated a greater propensity for success, winning 57% of such scenarios, exceeding Rublev's 52% over the past year.

Rublev converted 25.21% of break point chances recently, slightly lower than Jong's conversion rate of 28.18%, a pivotal statistic for in-game predictions when either player faces a break opportunity.

Based on these statistics, while both players exhibit distinct strengths, the verdict leans towards Jong as the potential favorite due to his superior overall match win percentage, better break point conversion figures, and deciding set performance.